Impacts of Biomass Burning, Urbanization, and Regional Environmental Conditions on Air Quality in Medium-Sized Cities in Brazil

Introduction: International studies have demonstrated a positive impact on air quality associated with the presence of green areas in urban conglomerates. However, in Brazil, studies addressing the impacts of urban green areas on air quality are still incipient and are predominantly focused on large urban centers. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between urban green areas, surface temperature (LST), and air quality across 15 medium-sized Brazilian cities. Methods: Concentrations of particulate matter fractions (PM1, PM2.5, and PM10) were monitored from January 2023 to May 2024 using second data from low-cost sensors. The NDVI and both daytime and nighttime LST profiles were extracted via Google Earth Engine within a 1 km buffer zone surrounding each station via the Sentinel-2 and MODIS 11A1 satellite data, respectively. Spatial–temporal co-variation patterns were explored using principal component analysis (PCA). To model these dynamics while controlling for spatial dependencies, a multi-criteria framework compared linear models (simple linear regression (LM) and linear mixed (LMM)) and generalized models (generalized additive (GAM) and generalized additive mixed (GAMM)). Results: The results revealed a positive relationship between NDVI and PM2.5 and PM10 fractions in specific regions, while surface temperatures showed a direct association with finer particles (PM1 and PM2.5). The regression coefficient showed the significant association of PM2.5 with NDVI and nighttime LST (β = 1.330; IC 95%: [0.397; 2.270]; p = 0.005). The GAMM was the best-fitting model for all particle fractions, demonstrating that incorporating monitoring stations as random intercepts successfully controls for unmeasured local heterogeneity, while penalized splines accurately capture non-linear environmental factors. Conclusions: Although many studies have shown that green areas in temperate regions typically act as consistent sinks for particulate matter, our study revealed localized and seasonal responses in tropical urban landscapes. It should be noted that our study is conducted on a national scale and that the use of low-cost sensors and remote sensing does not allow us to distinguish between the localized microclimatic benefits of vegetation and the long-range transport of regional pollutants.