A 1-dimensional convolutional neural network using post-discharge CIED diagnostics predicted 60-day heart failure readmission with 0.77 sensitivity, 0.98 specificity, and an AUROC of 0.89.
Cohort (n=5,734)
Does a deep learning model trained on post-discharge CIED diagnostic parameters predict 60-day heart failure readmission in patients with ICDs or CRT-Ds?
Deep learning models leveraging post-discharge trajectories of routinely captured CIED diagnostics can accurately identify patients at high risk of 60-day HF readmission.
Effect estimate: AUROC 0.89
p-value: p=<0.001
ABSTRACT Background Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of hospitalization and readmission. Cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) continuously capture physiologic diagnostics that change during and after HF decompensation and may enable early post‐discharge risk stratification. Objectives To predict 60‐day HF readmission using deep learning models trained on post‐discharge temporal behavior of CIED diagnostic parameters. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators (CRT‐Ds) devices enrolled in remote monitoring (2007–2021) with HF hospitalizations identified from linked electronic health record and remote monitoring databases. Five daily device diagnostics (activity, impedance, heart rate variability, and night/day heart rates) were aligned to the index HF discharge (day 0) and analyzed over the subsequent 30 days. Patients readmitted within 7 days and those with substantial missing device data were excluded; remaining recovery windows were labeled by the occurrence of HF readmission 8–60 days post‐discharge. We trained and evaluated two architectures of neural networks. Results The cohort included 5734 patients with 12 369 HF hospitalization events; 2489 index hospitalizations were followed by HF readmission within 60 days. Across the 30‐day recovery window of device parameters, temporal characteristics of CIED cardiac compass parameters differed significantly between readmitted and non‐readmitted patients ( p < 0.001), consistent with slower physiologic recovery among readmitted events. On an independent data set, the 1‐dimensional convolutional neural network architecture (1D CNN) achieved 0.77 sensitivity, 0.98 specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.89. Conclusion Deep learning models leveraging post‐discharge trajectories of routinely captured CIED diagnostics can identify patients at higher risk of 60‐day HF readmission and may support targeted early follow–up after HF hospitalization.
Ramos et al. (Mon,) conducted a cohort in Heart failure (n=5,734). Deep learning models using post-discharge CIED diagnostic parameters was evaluated on 60-day HF readmission (AUROC 0.89, p=<0.001). A 1-dimensional convolutional neural network using post-discharge CIED diagnostics predicted 60-day heart failure readmission with 0.77 sensitivity, 0.98 specificity, and an AUROC of 0.89.
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