Effects of Tide–Surge Interaction on Storm Surges Along the Southeastern Coast of China: A Case Study of Typhoon Winnie

This study investigates tide–surge nonlinear interactions along the southeastern coast of China (SCC) using Typhoon Winnie as a case study. A coupled tide–surge model is established based on the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM), incorporating realistic bathymetry, tidal constituents, wind fields, and atmospheric pressure. The results show that tide–surge interactions contribute up to 1.8 m to the total water level, with the most pronounced effects occurring in shallow, high-friction coastal regions such as Hangzhou Bay, the Yangtze River Estuary, and the Jiangsu coast. Sensitivity experiments reveal that the quadratic bottom friction term is the dominant mechanism driving the nonlinear interaction, while the advection term plays a secondary role. The interaction intensity is highly sensitive to water depth and topographic slope; reducing water depth generally intensifies the interaction, though the response is non-monotonic in regions with complex bathymetry such as the radial sand ridge field. The phase and period of astronomical tides also exert significant control. Notably, semi-diurnal constituents (e.g., M2, S2) dominate the interaction, accounting for up to 80% of the nonlinear effect, whereas diurnal constituents contribute negligibly (less than 0.1 m). Tide–surge coupling significantly affects both the magnitude and timing of extreme water levels, with enhanced interaction occurring during astronomical low tide at some stations (e.g., Dinghai). These findings underscore the necessity of incorporating tide–surge interactions, particularly with accurate bottom friction and semi-diurnal tidal forcing, into storm surge models for improved forecasting and disaster risk assessment along China’s southeastern coast.