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January 1, 2018Heart Views5 citationsOpen Access

Predictors of coronary artery disease progression among high-risk patients with recurrent symptoms

MAMouazH Al-MallahKing Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health SciencesIFIyad FarahCentre Hospitalier Universitaire de NîmesAAAmjadM AhmedKing Abdulaziz Medical City

Key Result

A drop in left ventricular ejection fraction of more than 5% between two angiograms was a significant predictor of coronary artery disease progression (adjusted OR 5.8).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=259)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

P
Population
259 high-risk patients with recurrent symptoms who underwent two coronary angiograms at least 1 year apart, followed for a mean of 30 months.
O
Outcome
Progressive CAD (defined as new obstructive CAD in a previously disease-free segment or new obstruction in a previously nonobstructive segment on consecutive angiographic studies)surrogate

Among high-risk patients with recurrent symptoms, angiographic CAD progression is common and is independently predicted by a drop in LVEF >5%.

Main Result

Odds Ratio: 5.8 (95% CI 1.1–31.2)

p-value: p=0.042

Limitations

  • Coronary angiography assessment could underestimate the presence of occluded CAD due to small size coronaries, contrast dilution, or technical complexities.
  • Normal coronary segments could easily be missed in the diffuse nature of CAD.
  • Retrospective study design.
  • Coronary angiography assessment could underestimate the presence of occluded CAD due to small size coronaries, contrast dilution, or technical complexities
  • Normal coronary segments could easily be missed in the diffuse nature of CAD

Abstract

Background: Despite the availability of new potent medical therapies, the rate of progression of angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well described. The aim of this analysis is to describe the rate and predictors of progression of CAD among patients with recurrent symptoms.Materials and Methods: We reviewed 259 patients (mean age 61 ± 11 years, 70% males) who underwent two coronary angiograms between 2008 and 2013. Progressive CAD was defined as obstructive CAD in a previously disease-free segment or new obstruction in a previously nonobstructive segment. Patients who had coronary artery bypass surgery between these two angiograms were excluded from the analysis. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of progression of CAD.Results: The included cohort had a high prevalence of coronary risk factors; hypertension (71%), diabetes (69%), and dyslipidemia (75%). Despite adequate medical therapy, more than half of the patients (61%) had CAD progression. Using multivariate logistic regression, a drop in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) by more than 5% was the predictor of CAD progression (adjusted odds ratio 5.8, P = 0.042, 95% confidence interval 1.1–31.2).Conclusion: Among high-risk patients with recurrent symptoms, the short-term rate of progression of CAD is high. A drop in LVEF >5% is a predictor of CAD progression. Further studies are needed to determine the prognostic value of CAD progression in the era of potent medical therapy.

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Cite This Study

Al-Mallah et al. (2018) conducted a cohort in Coronary artery disease (n=259). Drop in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >5% vs. No drop in LVEF >5% was evaluated on Coronary artery disease progression (adjusted OR 5.8, 95% CI 1.1-31.2, p=0.042). A drop in left ventricular ejection fraction of more than 5% between two angiograms was a significant predictor of coronary artery disease progression (adjusted OR 5.8).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a32a0e581ec1bb6b0ddfde9https://doi.org/10.4103/heartviews.heartviews_23_17
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