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Randomized analysis demonstrates ergodic convergence in unimodal maps, suggesting implications for symbolic dynamics.
We prove a sequential (non-autonomous) Birkhoff ergodic theorem for compositions of unimodal maps fu_n(x) = 1 − u_n x² whose parameters drift slowly to a Misiurewicz value u_c. Working under an explicit uniform-inducing-scheme hypothesis — a uniform Young tower with uniform Lasota–Yorke constants and Keller–Liverani spectral stability across the relevant parameter set — we show that for every bounded-variation observable, the time average along the sequential orbit converges in mean (indeed in L², hence in probability) to the spatial average against the unique absolutely continuous invariant measure μu_c of the limiting autonomous map, whenever the drift tail supk≥n|u_k − u_c| tends to zero. For the logarithmic schedule |u_n − u_c| ≤ c (log n)−β we further obtain almost-everywhere convergence when β > 1, the threshold at which the second-moment estimate becomes summable along a ratio-one subsequence. The proof passes to the induced first-return map, where the dynamics is uniformly expanding, and combines a uniform spectral gap with a Cesàro estimate of the accumulated drift error. The result supplies the ergodic foundation — convergence of symbolic cylinder frequencies to the band-merging statistics — for non-autonomous symbolic models of arithmetic sequences; we delimit precisely what it does and does not yield for the associated density envelopes.
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Liang Wang (2026) studied this question.
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