Aircraft Digital Twin Ecosystems for Lifecycle Planning and Management in Sustainable Aviation Transport Systems

Aircraft digital twins are increasingly used for diagnostics, prognostics, and predictive maintenance, but their role as lifecycle-oriented, multi-stakeholder decision-support ecosystems remains insufficiently developed. This paper addresses this gap by proposing a conceptual systems-engineering framework for an aircraft digital twin ecosystem supporting sustainable aviation transport management. The framework integrates physics-based, data-driven, hybrid, probabilistic, and federated modelling approaches and includes a three-layer ecosystem model, formal mathematical representation of aircraft and digital twin lifecycle evolution, federated model updating, lifecycle decision-support scenarios, reference architecture, validation and trustworthiness principles, and a five-level maturity model. Representative aviation industrial cases are used to interpret the framework. The analysis shows that current industrial practice already contains elements of predictive maintenance, fleet analytics, engine health monitoring, and cloud-enabled MRO optimization, but full aircraft-level lifecycle governance, sustainability trade-off analysis, federated validation, and multi-stakeholder decision orchestration remain underdeveloped. The proposed framework positions aircraft digital twins as asset-level instruments for lifecycle planning, coordinated governance, and sustainability-oriented decision support.