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June 19, 2026Results in EngineeringOpen Access

A Closed-Loop MPC Framework with Hybrid Forecasting for Cost-, Carbon-, and Degradation-Optimal Residential Microgrids

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Authors

AKAhmed KhayatMKMohammed KissaouiLBLhoussaine BAHATTI

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Overview

Randomized trial evaluates a new energy management system to optimize costs, carbon impact, and battery health in microgrids, suggesting a more sustainable energy solution.

Key Points

  • This study aims to improve energy management in residential microgrids by reducing costs, emissions, and battery degradation.
  • Developed an energy management system based on a closed-loop MPC framework.
  • Forecasting utilizes a GRU-XGBoost hybrid model for solar generation and an optimized LSTM model for load demand.
  • Evaluated over one week against Particle Swarm Optimization and Rule-Based Control.
  • Achieved a 7.1% reduction in operational costs compared to Rule-Based Control.
  • Saw a 12% decrease in CO₂ emissions when implemented.
  • Ensured smoother battery operation and enhanced resilience during adverse weather.

Cite This Study

Khayat et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a34dc5265a5b0777af2ca3ehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.111581
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