Greenness, Growth and Productivity in Die-Off Sites Indicate Drought Sensitivity in Semi-Arid Forests and Rapid Recovery

Aridification and hotter droughts are triggering forest die-off events characterized by high mortality rates and declines in forest productivity. The western Mediterranean Basin is a climate change hotspot where many of these die-off events have affected several tree and shrub species in recent decades. Yet, the responses of canopy greenness and cover, radial growth, and gross primary productivity (GPP) to climate in these die-off sites remain poorly understood across species and biomes. Here, we examined 44 sites across Spain, covering humid, dry sub-humid, and semi-arid biomes, and including nine tree and one shrub species. We obtained and correlated monthly climate data, satellite-derived vegetation indices (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Enhanced Vegetation Index), tree-ring metrics (basal area increment, ring-width indices), and GPP. We assessed climate trends and relationships between climate, vegetation indices, growth, GPP, and resilience after five extreme drought years in the period 1984–2023. Climate warming impacted all sites, increasing vapor pressure deficit and reducing soil moisture availability, with semi-arid sites warming the most. Vegetation indices and growth showed the largest declines during extreme droughts in dry sub-humid and semi-arid sites. Correlations with climate variables highlighted strong sensitivity to drought stress, particularly regarding growth metrics. During die-off events, GPP significantly declined in the growing season, but no legacy effects were observed afterwards. Vegetation indices and growth partially recovered one year after drought, with resilience peaking for GPP in semi-arid sites. Hotter droughts constrain GPP and growth, especially in dry sub-humid and semi-arid forests. Forests and shrublands experiencing die-off are diagnostic monitors of drought-induced thresholds in ecosystem productivity.