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June 21, 2026Open Access

From Votes to Megawatts: Policy Outcomes of Local Elections

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Authors

KBKonrad BierlKEKlaus EisenackADAngelika von Dulong

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Overview

Randomized trial explores electoral support effects on photovoltaic capacity investment in Germany, indicating significant short- and long-term outcomes.

Key Points

  • This research aims to examine the impact of local elections on policy outcomes, specifically focusing on solar energy investment tied to the Green Party's electoral support.
  • Utilized a triple difference-in-differences design on panel data from 1990-2022
  • Focused on municipal elections in Germany's multiparty system
  • Exploited staggered elections for quasi-random variation
  • Short-run capacity increases of +3.4 MW per municipality post-election
  • Long-run capacity reductions of -4.2 MW per municipality observed over time
  • Effects predominantly driven by declining residential photovoltaic capacity

Cite This Study

Bierl et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a37803424f042ddf4c5a67fhttps://doi.org/10.48462/opus4-6275
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  5. 5Mind the gap: turnout gap of local and national elections in Germany from 2000–20192026