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June 23, 2026Journal of Information & Knowledge Management0 citations

Predicting Employee Attrition: A Machine Learning Framework for Knowledge-Based Workforce Retention Strategies

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FAFaisal Al-SaqqarAAAmjad H. AlkilaniMNMohammad I. Nusir

Key Points

  • This research aims to develop a machine learning framework to predict employee attrition and enhance knowledge retention strategies within organizations.
  • Utilized machine learning techniques for attrition prediction.
  • Employed intelligent data preprocessing and feature engineering.
  • Implemented SMOTETomek class balancing, ensemble learning, and stratified five-fold cross-validation.
  • Deep Learning model achieved 89.8% accuracy and 54.8% recall.
  • Voting Ensemble reached highest AUC-ROC of 0.882, representing 84% improvement in recall over baseline.
  • Identified key predictors of attrition: income, age, tenure, and manager relationships.

Abstract

Employee attrition significantly threatens organisational knowledge retention and competitive performance. This study proposes a machine learning framework for predicting employee attrition, grounded within knowledge management and decision support theory. The framework integrates intelligent data preprocessing, feature engineering, SMOTETomek class balancing, ensemble learning and stratified five-fold cross-validation to ensure rigorous, leakage-free performance estimation. All proposed models significantly outperformed the logistic regression baseline across all metrics (paired Formula: see text-test, Formula: see text). The Deep Learning model achieved the highest accuracy (0.898) and recall (0.548), while the Voting Ensemble achieved the highest AUC-ROC (0.882), representing an 84% improvement in recall over baseline. Feature importance analysis identified income, age, tenure and manager relationships as chief attrition predictors. The proposed framework equips HR practitioners with actionable decision support tools to proactively manage talent and preserve organisational knowledge.

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Cite This Study

Al-Saqqar et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a3a21c7111626ef22ab67cchttps://doi.org/10.1142/s0219649226500358
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