Key result
Triage models incorporating intraoperative data improve postoperative ICU admission prediction over preoperative-only models.
Why the study?
Postoperative ICU disposition after anatomical lung resection is usually planned preoperatively, but intraoperative events may substantially influence the final care pathway.
Does a perioperative reassessment model improve the prediction of actual postoperative ICU admission compared to a preoperative-only model in patients undergoing anatomical lung resection?
Cohort (n=159)
No
Does a perioperative reassessment model improve the prediction of actual postoperative ICU admission compared to a preoperative-only model in patients undergoing anatomical lung resection?
Absolute Event Rate: 0.802% vs 0.665%
A perioperative reassessment model incorporating intraoperative factors showed better discriminative performance than a preoperative-only approach for predicting actual ICU admission after anatomical lung resection.
May improve post-lung resection ICU triage with intraoperative data; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation.
Background/Objectives: Postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) disposition after anatomical lung resection is usually planned preoperatively, but the final care pathway may be substantially influenced by intraoperative events. We evaluated actual postoperative ICU admission among patients with a documented preoperative ICU monitoring recommendation and compared preoperative-only and perioperative triage approaches. Methods: In this retrospective single-centre cohort study, 1060 adults undergoing elective anatomical lung resection for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) between January 2019 and December 2025 were screened; 159 patients with a documented preoperative ICU monitoring recommendation constituted the analytical cohort. A clinically pre-specified primary perioperative model incorporating operative duration, intraoperative complication, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and pre-existing arrhythmia was compared with a preoperative-only model and with an exploratory perioperative ICU triage score. Results: Actual postoperative ICU admission occurred in 45 patients (28.3%). Operative duration (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.012 per minute; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.005–1.018; p < 0.001) and intraoperative complication (adjusted OR 15.002; 95% CI, 3.738–60.210; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with actual postoperative ICU admission. The primary perioperative model achieved an AUC of 0.802 (95% CI, 0.717–0.876), compared with 0.759 for the exploratory perioperative triage score and 0.665 for the preoperative-only model. Conclusions: Fewer than one-third of patients with a documented preoperative ICU monitoring recommendation underwent actual postoperative ICU admission. In this selected cohort, perioperative reassessment incorporating intraoperative information showed higher apparent discriminative performance than the preoperative-only approach while the exploratory score showed intermediate, hypothesis-generating performance. Because the outcome reflected observed institutional ICU disposition rather than independently adjudicated ICU-level care requirement, prospective multicentre validation using predefined ICU admission criteria is required before clinical implementation.
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Öztan et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Non-small cell lung cancer undergoing elective anatomical lung resection (n=159). Perioperative triage model vs. Preoperative-only model was evaluated on Discriminative performance (AUC) for actual postoperative ICU admission (95% CI 0.717-0.876). A perioperative triage model incorporating intraoperative information showed higher discriminative performance for actual ICU admission (AUC 0.802; 95% CI 0.717-0.876) than a preoperative-only model.
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