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The study aims to identify Yakutian districts where variations in fire hazard significantly correlate with weather conditions in specific months.

Features of statistical relationships between interannual changes in fire hazard according to weather conditions in the uluses of Yakutia with variations in the indicators of fire hazard of its forests in previous years

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Randomized trial identifies weather factors affecting fire hazard in Yakutia, suggesting improved forecasting methods.

The study aims to identify Yakutian districts where variations in fire hazard significantly correlate with weather conditions in specific months.
Analyzed average monthly air temperatures and forest fire incidence from 2011-2023 across different uluses in Yakutia.
Established statistical relationships between interannual changes in temperature and prior forest fire rates.
Identified month-specific correlations primarily in May, June, and July.
Significant statistical relationships were found between forest fire incidence in the previous year and average monthly air temperatures for Yakutia uluses in May-July.
These relationships were robust to time shifts and variable time period assessments.
The findings confirm existing theories on fire hazard forecasting, suggesting effective strategies for firefighting planning.

Tischenko et al. (2026) studied this question.

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