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July 1, 2026Policy Studies Journal

Rhetorical Diffusion and Policy Latency: Tracing AIPAC Influence in US–Iran Relations (2010–2026)

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Authors

BABülent Aras

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Overview

This research traces lobbying influence on US–Iran relations, revealing significant disparities in governmental responsiveness.

Key Points

  • This research aims to understand how domestic interest groups influence the transition from diplomacy to warfare.
  • Employs computational text-as-data pipeline to quantify lobbying influence
  • Analyzes over 31,000 documents from January 2010 to early 2026
  • Utilizes dynamic topic modeling, N-gram alignment, and Granger causality methods
  • Executive Branch shows no predictive influence from lobbying, while Congress amplifies escalatory rhetoric
  • AIPAC emerges as a leading indicator for legislative securitization as tensions escalate
  • Lobby influences the interpretation of geopolitical crises leading to military actions.

Cite This Study

Bülent Aras (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a44af325cd2549c8bc443f7https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.70141
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