Inclusive selectorates, unrepresentative candidate lists? On inclusivity versus representativeness in candidate selection processes

Candidate selection procedures are often cited as a reason for the underrepresentation of women. This article focuses on the role of party members, who have become more influential as candidate selection procedures have grown more inclusive. While theory often assumes a negative relationship between inclusivity and representativeness, empirical findings are mixed. Using a ranked conjoint experiment among Dutch party members, this study examines how party members evaluate and rank candidates under different selection settings. I find no evidence that more inclusive selection procedures lead to less gender-balanced candidate lists. Party members show a preference for women candidates but place even greater weight on incumbency and party activity. As access to these resources remains unequally distributed, women still face an indirect disadvantage in candidate selection.