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July 4, 2026Journal of the American College of Cardiology222 citationsOpen Access

Relationship of Hemoglobin A1C and Mortality in Heart Failure Patients With Diabetes

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DADavid AguilarBBBiykem BozkurtKRKumudha Ramasubbu

Key Points

  • To investigate the link between HbA1C levels and adverse outcomes in diabetic heart failure patients.
  • Retrospective analysis in a national cohort of 5815 veterans with heart failure and diabetes
  • Assessment of mortality and hospitalization rates across HbA1C quintiles
  • Follow-up duration of two years
  • Death rates varied by quintile: Q1 (25%), Q2 (23%), Q3 (17.7%), Q4 (22.5%), Q5 (23.2%)
  • Adjusted analyses showed Q3 had a significant reduction in mortality compared to Q1 (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.61-0.88, p=0.001)
  • Hospitalization increased with HbA1C quintiles but was not statistically significant after adjustments.

Abstract

Objectives To examine the relationship between glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1C) and adverse outcomes in diabetic patients with established heart failure (HF). Background Despite the common co-existence of diabetes and HF, previous studies examining the association between HbA1C and outcomes in this population have been limited and have reported discrepant results. Methods We assessed the association between increasing quintiles (Q1-Q5) of HbA1C and risk of death or risk of HF hospitalization by conducting a retrospective study in a national cohort of 5815 veterans with HF and diabetes treated in ambulatory clinics at Veterans Affairs medical centers. Results At two years of follow-up, death occurred in 25% of patients in Q1 (HbA1C ≤ 6.4), 23% in Q2 (6.4 9.0). After adjustment for potential confounders, the middle quintile (Q3) had reduced mortality when compared to the lowest quintile (risk-adjusted HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.88, p=0.001). HF hospitalization rates at 2 years increased with increasing quintiles of HbA1C (Q1 13.3%, Q2 13.1%, Q3 15.5%, Q4 16.4%, and Q5 18.2%), but this association was not statistically significant when adjusted for potential confounders. Conclusions The association between mortality and HbA1C in diabetic patients with heart failure appears U-shaped, with the lowest risk of death in those patients with modest glucose control (7.1% < HbA1C ≤ 7.8%). Future prospective studies are necessary to define optimal treatment goals in these patients.

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Cite This Study

Aguilar et al. (2009) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a48d00b12846e17495812c4https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.04.049
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