A Frequency-Aware Dual-Stream Deep Learning Framework for Athlete Workload Monitoring and Injury Risk Assessment: A Multi-Dataset Validation Study in Professional Team Sports

The accumulation of training and competition loads represents a critical determinant of musculoskeletal injury risk in professional team sports, yet contemporary monitoring systems remain limited by their reliance on single-domain temporal analysis that overlooks the multi-scale rhythmic patterns inherent in athletic workload signals. This study introduces FDTM (frequency-aware dual-stream temporal model), a deep learning framework that jointly encodes time-domain dependencies and frequency-domain spectral signatures from digital athlete monitoring streams to predict individual injury risk over a forward-looking seven-game horizon. The framework integrates a stacked bidirectional long short-term memory branch augmented with temporal self-attention pooling, a spectral encoding branch employing discrete Fourier transform decomposition across high-frequency (weekly), mid-frequency (bi-weekly), and low-frequency (seasonal) bands, and a cross-modal gated attention fusion module that adaptively balances temporal and spectral representations conditioned on player context. We evaluate FDTM on three heterogeneous public sports datasets spanning basketball (NBA game-log corpus 2013–2023), Australian rules football (AFL Player Workload Dataset), and soccer (SoccerMon open monitoring corpus), comprising 612 athletes and 247,830 player-game observations across ten competitive seasons. FDTM achieves AUC-ROC values of 0.858, 0.833, and 0.821 on the three datasets respectively, outperforming the strongest deep-learning baseline (FEDformer) by 2.0 to 3.3 percentage points and the strongest non-spectral baseline (TCN) by 3.2 to 4.5 percentage points while maintaining a Brier score below 0.04. Ablation studies confirm that the spectral branch contributes 5.1 percent to overall discriminative performance. SHAP attribution analyses identify high-frequency weekly components as the dominant injury-relevant signal, followed by low-frequency seasonal trends and the cumulative acute-to-chronic workload temporal feature, with gating-weight visualizations revealing dynamic modality contributions consistent with established sports science theory. Direct spectral analysis of the raw workload signal confirms that injury-preceding windows exhibit significantly elevated weekly-band power across all three datasets (Mann–Whitney U test, p < 1 × 10−7), and the architectural advantage is shown to be robust across 30 independent training seeds. These findings suggest that frequency-aware modeling may serve as a transferable methodology for sports engineering applications in injury prevention, return-to-play planning, and individualized rehabilitation, pending further external validation in female athletes and additional team sports.