Assessing the Reliability of Sentinel-2 for Turbidity Estimation in a Shallow Coastal Lagoon

Understanding turbidity in coastal systems is essential to ensure the sustainable management of these ecosystems, which are increasingly under pressure from natural factors and human activities. Thus, this study aims to develop a local Sentinel-2-based turbidity model for the Aveiro lagoon (Portugal) by combining Sentinel-2 records with in situ measurements. A field campaign synchronized with a Sentinel-2 overpass was conducted across the lagoon channels on 28 May 2025, to capture spatial variability by measuring near-surface turbidity and Secchi depth, for correspondence with the spectral records of satellite. Remote Sensing Reflectance (Rrs) and turbidity were derived using various algorithms integrated within the ACOLITE software (v20250114.0). Additionally, new turbidity models were developed and empirically adjusted based on the Rrs data, with their performance quantified through the coefficient of determination (R2) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results showed that the existing algorithms are not directly suitable for the Aveiro lagoon, as they underestimate the highest turbidity values. The ratio between 665 and 560 nm bands (RGratio) proved to be the most suitable spectral index, performing best in estimating turbidity (R2 = 0.822 and RMSE = 1.77 NTU). This study highlights the importance of locally calibrated models over standard ACOLITE algorithms for turbidity retrieval in shallow coastal lagoons, while emphasizing that the proposed model was calibrated for the tidal, wind, and river discharge conditions sampled during the campaign and has not yet been independently validated.