Factors influencing victim-precipitated burglary in Florida Park, Johannesburg, South Africa

Burglary remains a serious problem in South Africa. This study examined the influence of socio-demographic characteristics, individual behaviours and environmental security measures on victim-precipitated burglary risk in Florida Park, Johannesburg. A cross-sectional survey of 1,156 households (1,142 completed, 98.8% response rate) was conducted using systematic sampling. Chi-square and binomial logistic regression analyses were performed. Risky behaviours (leaving access points unlocked, sharing keys/codes and visible valuables) significantly increased the odds of victim-precipitated burglary, while alarm systems, CCTV and security dogs reduced the odds. Socio-demographic factors (employment, income and marital status) moderated some relationships. While findings support routine activity theory, situational crime prevention and lifestyle-exposure theory, they highlight the need for cautious application of victim-precipitation concepts to avoid victim-blaming. The study underscores the value of multifaceted, context-sensitive prevention strategies.