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The aim is to determine the optimal cadence for re-observing sites as they drift over time.

July 8, 2026Open Access

The Stewardship Revisit Theorem: An Optimal Re-Observation Cadence for Drifting Monitoring Certificates

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The aim is to determine the optimal cadence for re-observing sites as they drift over time.
Developed the Stewardship Revisit Theorem (SRT) using a square-root law approach.
Checked eight results using Lean 4 proof assistant, ensuring rigorous validity.
Integrated findings from established theorems including the Monitoring Water-Filling Theorem.
The optimal cadence for re-observation was derived as τ* = √(2c/(κs²)).
Results show tighter observation intervals for faster drift, based on the decay of confidence.
A unique Whittle-index was established to prioritize monitoring across portfolios of sites.

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Randomized trial investigates the optimal timing for re-observing drifting sites, suggesting a novel cadence for monitoring certificates.

Hart et al. (2026) studied this question.

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