Early Prediction of Commercial Energy Storage Battery Cycle Life Based on Health Features and Transfer Learning

As the application scale of battery energy storage gradually increases, the accurate prediction of the remaining service life of large-capacity energy storage batteries is crucial for high-quality development in this field. To address the issues of insufficient reliability and poor generalization in large-capacity energy storage battery life prediction, a deep learning framework based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is developed. Early aging data from the first 150 cycles is used for the model, with outliers removed and noise reduced through Savitzky–Golay (SG) filtering. Data normalization and a sliding window method are employed for training. The model is validated on two batches of large-capacity batteries under GB/T 36276-2023 conditions at 25 °C and 45 °C, achieving the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 0.86% and 0.50%, respectively, over 1000 cycles. Additionally, the method is tested on small-capacity batteries from an MIT dataset, achieving an RMSE of 4.3%. A transfer learning module fine-tunes the model using cycles 151–300, reducing RMSEs to 0.18%, 0.10%, and 3.1% for the three battery sets. This enhances the model’s generalization and offers a practical solution for life prediction in battery inspection and evaluation.