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July 15, 2026Journal of Imaging Informatics in Medicine

A low-volume, highly heterogeneous EAT radiomic phenotype predicts ~82% greater MACE risk.

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Why the study?

Manual epicardial adipose tissue volume measurement on cardiac CT is slow, requires expertise, and has inter-reader variability, limiting its clinical utility for risk assessment.

Does a deep learning-derived epicardial adipose tissue radiomic phenotype from CCTA predict MACE?

Population

286 CCTA images of patients aged 40 to 90

Comparison

Automated 3D Residual U-Net segmentation vs manual measurements

Follow-up

2 years

Key result

A high-risk radiomic phenotype of epicardial adipose tissue, characterized by low volume and high spatial heterogeneity, independently predicted MACE (adjusted HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.04-3.17; p=0.035).

Authors

SNSepehr NayebiradSFShayan ForghaniSNSoroush Nematollahi

Discussion

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Overview

May refine MACE risk stratification on CCTA beyond fat volume alone; hypothesis-generating in this observational cohort.

Key Points

  • This research aims to develop and validate an automated deep learning model for segmenting epicardial adipose tissue and estimating its impact on cardiovascular risk.
  • 286 coronary CT angiography images were analyzed, including training, validation, and testing sets with 60, 20, and 20 images respectively.
  • A 3D Residual U-Net model was trained using PyTorch and MONAI, optimized with Dice loss.
  • The association of model-derived epicardial fat volume with major adverse cardiac events was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.
  • The model segmented epicardial adipose tissue with a Dice score of 0.85 on unseen test scans.
  • Automated and manual epicardial fat volume measurements showed strong agreement (Spearman r = 0.932, p < 0.0001; CCC = 0.943, 95% CI 0.864–0.977).
  • While epicardial fat volume alone did not significantly predict major adverse cardiac events, a high-risk radiomic phenotype was identified as a strong independent predictor (adjusted HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.04–3.17, p = 0.035).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=286)

Structured PICO

Does a deep learning-derived epicardial adipose tissue radiomic phenotype from CCTA predict MACE?

P
Population
286 patients aged 40 to 90 undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography, followed for 2 years to assess major adverse cardiovascular events.
E
Exposure
Automated deep learning segmentation (3D Residual U-Net) of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) to estimate epicardial fat volume (EFV) and radiomic phenotype
C
Comparator
Manual expert measurements
O
Outcome
Segmentation accuracy (Dice similarity coefficient, Lin's concordance correlation coefficient, Spearman correlation) and association of model-derived metrics with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over 2 years of follow-upsurrogate

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 1.82 (95% CI 1.04–3.17)

p-value: p=0.035

Automated deep learning can accurately segment epicardial adipose tissue from CCTA, revealing that a specific radiomic phenotype (low volume, high heterogeneity) independently predicts MACE, whereas sheer volume does not.

Cite This Study

Nayebirad et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Coronary artery disease risk (n=286). High-risk radiomic phenotype of epicardial adipose tissue was evaluated on Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.04-3.17, p=0.035). A high-risk radiomic phenotype of epicardial adipose tissue, characterized by low volume and high spatial heterogeneity, independently predicted MACE (adjusted HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.04-3.17; p=0.035).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a57250788b21df875480de9https://doi.org/10.1007/s10278-026-02106-8
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