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Preliminary reflection on turbulence models reveals limitations in assuming macro-level system autonomy.
Research on culture, norms, trust, and institutions routinely writes the macro-level as a system with dynamics of its own — an equation in which the future of a collective variable is a function of that variable alone. This paper argues that the self-containedness such writing presupposes is an assumption rather than a finding, and that a mature physical case, fully developed turbulence, shows how and why the assumption fails. The failure has a precise name in statistical physics: the closure problem. When a system with exact microscopic dynamics is projected onto the coarse variables one wishes to study, the projected dynamics are in general not closed — each order depends on a higher one, and the coarse variable is not by itself a sufficient description of its own future. The Mori–Zwanzig formalism gives the projected evolution exactly: alongside its drift it carries a memory kernel and a noise, and reduces to a self-contained macroscopic equation only when a separation of scales lets the memory decay and the noise whiten. Turbulence is the case in which that separation is absent across the range that matters, and it serves here as a calibration rather than a metaphor: it exhibits the closure problem on a fixed state space under the simultaneous loss of every feature that ordinarily rescues it, and thereby marks what a relational difficulty of merely this kind would amount to. The renormalization group, the second instrument for the passage across scales, sharpens the caution from the other side: where it succeeds, universality forbids reading a closed macroscopic law back to its microscopic mechanism; where it fails, as on the anomalous scaling of turbulence, it shows that a scaling law is no warrant for a universal macroscopic theory. The paper carries these into the study of relational emergence as a methodological caution — that a macro-level's autonomy is to be established, not assumed — and distinguishes the closure it warns about, a closure of dynamics, from the notion the framework will require, a closure of generation. The latter is named and delimited, not established: what would ground it, an invariant of generation not underwritten by any conservation law, is set down as the open problem the reflection leaves standing.
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Wanhong HUANG (2026) studied this question.
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