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July 6, 2008Risk Analysis

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of a Decision Analytic Model for Posteradication Polio Risk Management

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Design

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Key result

Decision analytic modeling showed that choices regarding surveillance, response, containment, and immunization policies play a major role in expected final costs and polio cases after eradication.

Authors

RTRadboud J. Duintjer TebbensMPMark A. PallanschOKOlen M. Kew

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Overview

Decision models quantify tradeoffs in post-eradication polio policies; leaves open optimal strategies for decisionmakers.

Structured PICO

E
Exposure
Various options for polio risk management after eradication of wild polioviruses
O
Outcome
Expected final costs and polio cases

Decision analytic modeling highlights that surveillance, response, and containment choices significantly impact costs and cases in posteradication polio risk management.

Limitations

  • Further studies are needed to address the most important knowledge gaps.

Cite This Study

Tebbens et al. (2008) studied Polio risk management after eradication. Polio risk management policies (surveillance, response, containment, and immunization) was evaluated on Expected final costs and polio cases. Decision analytic modeling showed that choices regarding surveillance, response, containment, and immunization policies play a major role in expected final costs and polio cases after eradication.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a5d0c5cbcb839ae37c53e76https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01078.x
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