Rainstorm-induced shallow landslides process and evaluation – a case study from three hot spots, China

The critical stage in the evaluation of rainfall-induced landslide failure is in formulating reasonable models to better simulate spatiotemporal changes of slopes in the hilly terrains. A physically based model can take into account the contribution of rainfall infiltration and shear strength of saturated soil layer, and therefore help revealing the landslide formation mechanisms. This paper presents a physically based approach to simulate the landslide process triggered by rainstorm. On the basis of previous solutions, we select the simplified infiltration model Slope-Infiltration-Distributed Equilibrium (SLIDE) to illustrate the dynamical relations between factor of safety (FS) and accumulation of rainfall over time. This model is tested with three representative landslide events in the southwest, southeast, and south central of China during rainstorm. Results show that the time of landslide failure predicted from the SLIDE model is consistent with the reality. Meanwhile, this paper illustrates the differences of FS among the different slope gradients in the vicinity of same soil texture and relationship between FS and rainfall accumulation. This work formulates a methodology of rainstorm-induced landslide evaluation and improves upon the existing landslide prediction methods.