What question did this study set out to answer?

To assess how climate change will affect electricity demand and supply in Europe until 2100.

July 23, 2026iScienceOpen Access

Climate change impacts on European electricity demand and supply until 2100

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Modeling climate impacts on electricity demand and supply in Europe, highlighting significant future shifts.

To assess how climate change will affect electricity demand and supply in Europe until 2100.
Developed SECURES-Energy, an open-access dataset with hourly data on electricity demand and supply from 1981 to 2100.
Derived historical data from ERA5 reanalysis and future projections from two EURO-CORDEX scenarios (RCP 4.5/RCP 8.5).
Included components of electricity supply from wind, solar, and hydropower, as well as demand for heating, cooling, and mobility.
Offshore wind generation declines by up to −4% to −6% by 2035–2100 compared to 1981–2010.
Cooling demand expected to rise sharply by up to +317% by end-century, while heating demand falls by up to −40% by end-century.
No consistent trends observed for solar PV and hydropower generation across Europe.

Schöniger et al. (2026) studied this question.

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