Randomized trial examines the use of triple isotopes to reconstruct atmospheric CO2 in altered ice samples, indicating significant historical trends.
Traditional ice cores provide invaluable insights into changes in past atmospheric greenhouse gas levels, like carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), and their relationship to climate over the last 800,000 years. Recently, ice as old as 6 million years (Ma) has been retrieved from the Allan Hills Blue Ice Area (BIA), Antarctica. However, CO 2 levels in samples older than 3 Ma are anomalously elevated by post‐depositional processes. In this work, we explore the viability of using triple isotopic composition of atmospheric oxygen (Δ 17 O‐O 2 ) as an independent approach for reconstructing atmospheric CO 2 from such altered samples. Atmospheric Δ 17 O‐O 2 and CO 2 are dynamically linked via photochemically driven isotope exchange reactions in the stratosphere. While Δ 17 O‐O 2 is also modulated by global biospheric productivity (GPP), its observed covariation with CO 2 on glacial‐interglacial timescales indicate that Δ 17 O‐O 2 , to first order, is affected by atmospheric CO 2 levels. We employ this covariation to reconstruct atmospheric CO 2 concentrations from both pristine and altered ice samples from the Allan Hills BIA back to 2.7 Ma. We find the Δ 17 O‐O 2 accurately reproduces pristine CO 2 values to within 18 ± 15 ppm (1σ) and confirms recent direct observations that long‐term mean values remained below 300 ppm for the entire Pleistocene epoch. Additionally, our results exhibit a secular ∼20 ppm decline in mean CO 2 from the early to mid‐Pleistocene transition (2.7–1.2 Ma), followed by stabile values across the MPT. Finally, we obtain first‐order estimates of early‐mid Pleistocene (2.4–0.8 Ma) GPP using paired Δ 17 O‐O 2 and CO 2 measurements in pristine samples.
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Banerjee et al. (2026) studied this question.
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