Combined Use of GDF-15 and NT-Pro BNP for Outcome Prediction in Patients with Acute Heart Failure

Background: Acute heart failure (AHF) is characterized by a complex pathophysiology. Aims: This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of combined serial measurements of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) for predicting long-term outcomes in patients with AHF. Methods: This study included 104 consecutive patients hospitalized due to AHF. The mean (SD) age was 65 (±15) years. Blood samples were collected on admission, at discharge, and at a 30-day follow-up visit. The primary composite endpoint was all-cause mortality or rehospitalization due to heart failure (HF) at 1-year follow-up. Results: During follow-up, the primary endpoint occurred in 31 persons. In the ROC analysis, the optimal cut-off values of GDF-15 for predicting the outcome were 5115.5 pg/mL on admission, 4145 pg/mL at discharge, and 4218.5 pg/mL at the 30-day visit. For NT-pro BNP, the optimal cut-off reached 6011 ng/L, 1250 ng/L, and 1456.5 ng/L, respectively. Patients with both GDF-15 and NT-pro BNP levels above the cut-off value had a higher risk of the primary composite endpoint than patients with only one or none of the biomarkers elevated at three time points. At the 30-day visit, the model combining NT-pro BNP and GDF-15 showed the highest predictive value for the primary composite endpoint (area under the curve, 0.75). Conclusions: Combined serial measurements of NT-pro BNP and GDF-15 outperform single measurements in outcome prediction at 1-year follow-up in patients with AHF. The repetitive combined model may serve as a useful risk assessment tool and facilitate decision-making during long-term observation.