Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
The future is, as Arjun Appadurai (2013) puts it, a "cultural fact". Anticipatory practices -prophecies, utopias, predictions, forecasts, or scenarios -fulfil important societal functions in pre-modern and modern societies alike They provide orientation in social interactions (Luhmann, 1997), shape expectations in market transactions Since World War II, such practices have undergone a process of scientisation and professionalisation. Formalised approaches draw on cybernetics, cognitive and behavioural sciences, gaming and econometrics, as well as techniques of computational modelling and simulation. They were forged in Cold War think tanks such as the US RAND Corporation (Andersson, 2012)
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Aykut et al. (2019) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: