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Examine how climate influences cropland dynamics through human activities in Northeast China.

July 24, 2026LandOpen Access

How Climate Shapes Cropland: The Potential Pathways Through Human Activities in Northeast China

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Randomized trial investigates the effects of climate and human activities on cropland changes in Jilin Province, suggesting new policy directions.

Examine how climate influences cropland dynamics through human activities in Northeast China.
Developed an integrated framework using optimal parameter geographic detector, structural equation modeling, and geographically weighted regression.
Analyzed cascading effects of 13 environmental factors on cropland over the period from 2010 to 2019 in Jilin Province.
Quantified spatial disparities and direct/indirect pathways affecting cropland variations.
Cropland decreased by 1.39% (1257.7 ha) due to construction, offset by 4.99% grassland (4518.8 ha) and 3.01% forestland (2720.2 ha) conversions.
Path coefficients revealed strong influence of climate on human activities (0.664) and human activities on cropland (0.571).
Climate significantly drove grass–cropland transitions in ecologically fragile areas.

Xiong et al. (2026) studied this question.

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Randomized trial investigates the effects of climate and human activities on cropland changes in Jilin Province, suggesting new policy directions.