Adaptive Management Model of River Ecological Flow and Its Application

生态流量是保障和维持河流健康的基础，在全球变化和社会经济快速发展的变化环境下，生态流量的计算和生态流量实施效果具有诸多不确定性。本文介绍了适应性管理的概念，结合生态流量管理的需求，讨论了生态流量适应性管理的框架。以淮河流域的沙颍河为研究对象，从生态保护目标的确定、生态调度方案实施、实施效果监测、调整生态流量方案的过程探讨了沙颍河生态流量适应性管理方案。论文研究成果体现出适应性管理方法对推动社会经济与生态环境协调发展、促进我国河流管理模式的完善和创新具有现实意义。 Ecological flow is the basis of protecting and maintaining river health. In the changing environment of global change and rapid socio-economic development, there are many uncertainties in the calculation and implementation effect of ecological flow. This paper introduces the concept of adaptive management, and discusses the framework of adaptive management of ecological flow combined with the needs of ecological flow management. Taking Shaying River as a case study, the ecological flow adaptive management scheme from the determination of ecological protection objectives, implementation of ecological scheduling scheme, and effect of monitoring and adjusting ecological flow scheme are discussed. The research results show that the adaptive management method has practical significance to promote the coordinated development of social economy and ecological environment, and promote the improvement and innovation of river management mode in China.