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A fine time-scale study of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) variations and auroral-zone magnetograms during active and moderately active days show that the time delay between the southward turning of the IMF and the first sign of a negative magnetic bay is typically less than 15 min. During the moderately active period, 88% of all substorms were associated with southward interplanetary magnetic fields. Conversely, 80% of all large southward IMF events were associated with auroral-zone negative bays; during some events, however, magnetic bays could not be found, even by using high-latitude stations. It is concluded that the main mechanism for the triggering of magnetospheric substorms is the southward turning of the IMF.
Tsurutani et al. (Thu,) studied this question.