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July 30, 2026Cardiology in Review

Impact of the 2019 Low-Risk Indication Expansion on Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Utilization, Outcomes, and Disparities: A National Interrupted Time Series Analysis

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Why the study?

In August 2019, the FDA expanded TAVR indications to low-surgical-risk patients, but the nationwide impact on utilization, clinical outcomes, and access equity needed evaluation.

Does the 2019 low-risk indication expansion for TAVR improve in-hospital mortality and utilization in patients undergoing TAVR?

Population

81,142 unweighted TAVR hospitalizations (405,710 survey-weighted) across 2955 hospitals

Comparison

Post-third-quarter 2019 low-risk expansion vs pre-expansion period

Design

National interrupted time series analysis

Key result

The 2019 low-risk indication expansion for TAVR was associated with a decline in in-hospital mortality from 1.58% to 0.84% (P<0.001).

Authors

MEMohamed Hamouda ElkasabyAAAlaa AlanaziHHHussam Al Hennawi

Discussion

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Member takes

Overview

Policy expansion tied to higher TAVR volumes and stable or improved outcomes; leaves open equity surveillance for racial minorities.

Key Points

  • Evaluate the impact of the 2019 low-risk indication expansion for transcatheter aortic valve replacement on utilization and outcomes.
  • Interrupted time series analysis of 81,142 TAVR hospitalizations from 2016 to 2022 across 2955 hospitals
  • Measured changes in in-hospital mortality and other outcomes pre- and post-policy implementation
  • Secondary analyses included Oaxaca–Blinder decomposition for racial disparities and inverse probability of treatment weighting
  • Annual TAVR volume increased by 134%, from 33,545 in 2016 to 78,405 in 2022
  • In-hospital mortality declined from 1.58% to 0.84% (P < 0.001) with significant improvements in stroke and other complications
  • Modest access increase for racial minorities and lower-income patients, highlighting emerging disparities

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=81,142)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does the 2019 low-risk indication expansion for TAVR improve in-hospital mortality and utilization in patients undergoing TAVR?

P
Population
81,142 unweighted TAVR hospitalizations from the US National Inpatient Sample (2016–2022) analyzed to evaluate the impact of the 2019 low-risk indication expansion.
E
Exposure
Third-quarter 2019 FDA low-risk indication expansion for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR)
C
Comparator
Pre-expansion period (2016 to third-quarter 2019)
O
Outcome
In-hospital mortalityhard clinical

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 0.84% vs 1.58%

p-value: p=<0.001

The 2019 FDA low-risk expansion for TAVR was associated with a 134% increase in procedural volume, a shift toward younger and lower-acuity patients, and significantly decreased in-hospital mortality.

Cite This Study

Elkasaby et al. (2026) conducted an observational in severe aortic stenosis (n=81,142). 2019 low-risk indication expansion for TAVR vs. Pre-expansion period was evaluated on in-hospital mortality (p=<0.001). The 2019 low-risk indication expansion for TAVR was associated with a decline in in-hospital mortality from 1.58% to 0.84% (P<0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6af55560e2b924d3ea176ehttps://doi.org/10.1097/crd.0000000000001404
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1E-29 | Analysis of Procedure Volume and Outcomes of Surgical and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement following Regulatory Approval of low-surgical risk patients2024
  2. 2Temporal Changes in Mortality After Transcatheter and Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: Retrospective Analysis of US Medicare Patients (2012–2019)2021 · 24 citations
  3. 3Did ethno-racial disparities in access to transcatheter aortic valve replacement change over time?2022 · 4 citations
  4. 4Racial disparities in transcatheter aortic valve replacement: A contemporary nationwide analysis2026
  5. 5Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Use in Young Patients Before and After Low-Risk Indication Approval2024