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Background Little is known regarding findings at imaging associated with survival in patients with luminal breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). Purpose To determine the relationship between imaging (MRI, US, and mammography) and clinical-pathologic variables in predicting distant metastasis–free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with luminal breast cancer treated with NAC. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, consecutive women with luminal breast cancer who underwent NAC followed by surgery were identified from the breast cancer registries of two hospitals. Women from one hospital between January 2003 and July 2015 were classified into the development cohort, and women from the other hospital between January 2007 and July 2015 were classified into the validation cohort. MRI scans, US scans, and mammograms before and after NAC (hereafter, referred to as pre- and post-NAC, respectively) and clinical-pathologic data were reviewed. Peritumoral edema was defined as the water-like high signal intensity surrounding the tumor on T2-weighted MRI scans. The prediction model was developed in the development cohort by using Cox regression and then tested in the validation cohort. Results The development cohort consisted of 318 women (68 distant metastases, 54 deaths) and the validation cohort consisted of 165 women (37 distant metastases, 14 deaths) (median age, 46 years in both cohorts). Post-NAC MRI peritumoral edema, age younger than 40 years, clinical N2 or N3, and lymphovascular invasion were associated with worse DMFS (all, P < .05). Pre-NAC mammographic microcalcifications, post-NAC MRI peritumoral edema, age older than 60 years, and clinical T3 or T4 were associated with worse OS (all, P < .05). The prediction model showed good discrimination ability (C index, 0.67–0.75 for DMFS and 0.70–0.77 for OS) and stratified prognosis into low-risk and high-risk groups (10-year DMFS rates, 79% vs 21%, respectively; and 10-year OS rates, 95%–96% vs 63%–67%, respectively) in the validation cohort. Conclusion MRI features and clinical-pathologic variables were identified that were associated with prolonged survival of patients with luminal breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Kataoka in this issue.
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