Key result
12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis detected coronary occlusion with 64% sensitivity, 90% specificity, 71% positive predictive value, and 87% negative predictive value.
Why the study?
Does 12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis accurately predict failed myocardial reperfusion in patients given thrombolytic therapy early in myocardial infarction?
Observational (n=144)
Blinded
Does 12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis accurately predict failed myocardial reperfusion in patients given thrombolytic therapy early in myocardial infarction?
Continuous 12-lead ST-segment recovery analysis provides a practical noninvasive marker of failed reperfusion with high specificity and negative predictive value compared to angiography.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Should not yet change occlusion detection protocols; hypothesis-generating for continuous ST monitoring pending prospective validation.
BACKGROUND: If a practical, reliable, noninvasive marker of failed reperfusion was available in real time, the benefits of further therapy in this patient subgroup could be tested. We developed a method of 12-lead ST-segment recovery analysis using continuously updated reference points to provide such a marker. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, our method was prospectively tested in 144 patients given thrombolytic therapy early in myocardial infarction. All patients had 12-lead continuous ST-segment monitoring and acute angiography, each analyzed in an independent, blinded core laboratory. ST-segment recovery and re-elevation were analyzed up to the moment of angiography, at which time patency was predicted. Predictions were correlated to angiographic infarct artery flow, with TIMI flow 0 to 1 as occluded and TIMI flow 2 to 3 as patent. Infarct artery occlusion was seen on first injection in 27% of patients. The positive predictive value of incomplete ST recovery or ST re-elevation by our method was 71%, negative predictive value 87%, with 90% specificity and 64% sensitivity for coronary occlusion. ST recovery analysis predicted patency in 94% of patients with TIMI 3 flow versus 81% of patients with TIMI 2 flow and predicted occlusion in 57% of patients with collateralized occlusion versus 72% of patients with non-collateralized occlusion. In a regression model including other noninvasive clinical descriptors, ST recovery alone contained the vast majority of predictive information about patency. CONCLUSIONS: In a blinded, prospective, angiographically correlated study design, 12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis shows promise as a practical noninvasive marker of failed reperfusion that may contribute substantially to currently available bedside assessment. Our data also suggest that patients with TIMI 2 flow or with collateralized occlusions may represent a physiological spectrum definable with ST-segment recovery analysis.
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Krucoff et al. (1993) conducted an observational in myocardial infarction (n=144). 12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis vs. acute angiography was evaluated on coronary occlusion (failed myocardial reperfusion). 12-lead continuous ST-segment recovery analysis detected coronary occlusion with 64% sensitivity, 90% specificity, 71% positive predictive value, and 87% negative predictive value.
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