Three-dimensional growth and biomechanical risk progression of abdominal aortic aneurysms under serial computed tomography assessment

Growth of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is often described as erratic and discontinuous. This study aimed at describing growth patterns of AAAs with respect to maximal aneurysm diameter (Dmax) and aneurysm volume, and to characterize changes in the intraluminal thrombus (ILT) and biomechanical indices as AAAs grow. 384 computed tomography angiographies (CTAs) from 100 patients (mean age 70.0, standard deviation, SD = 8.5 years, 22 women), who had undergone at least three CTAs, were included. The mean follow-up was 5.2 (SD = 2.5) years. Growth of Dmax was 2.64 mm/year (SD = 1.18), volume 13.73 cm 3 /year (SD = 10.24) and PWS 7.3 kPa/year (SD = 4.95). For Dmax and volume, individual patients exhibited linear growth in 87% and 77% of cases. In the tertile of patients with the slowest Dmax-growth (< 2.1 mm/year), only 67% belonged to the slowest tertile for volume-growth, and 52% and 55% to the lowest tertile of PWS- and PWRI-increase, respectively. The ILT-ratio (ILT-volume/aneurysm volume) increased with time (2.6%/year, p < 0.001), but when adjusted for volume, the ILT-ratio was inversely associated with biomechanical stress. In contrast to the notion that AAAs grow in an erratic fashion most AAAs displayed continuous and linear growth. Considering only change in Dmax, however, fails to capture the biomechanical risk progression, and parameters such as volume and the ILT-ratio need to be considered.