Why the study?
Due to the 0-100 boundedness of KCCQ scores, conventional mean change from baseline analysis can underestimate effects for lower and overestimate effects for higher baselines.
Do statistical methods that account for 0-100 boundedness improve the estimation of treatment effects on KCCQ scores in heart failure trials compared to conventional ANCOVA?
Do statistical methods that account for 0-100 boundedness improve the estimation of treatment effects on KCCQ scores in heart failure trials compared to conventional ANCOVA?
Conventional analyses of KCCQ score changes can underestimate effects for lower baselines and overestimate for higher baselines, which can be mitigated by using baseline-dependent statistical methods like ANCOVA interaction models or Beta regression.
Conventional KCCQ mean-change analyses risk baseline-dependent bias; challenges standard methods and leaves optimal approaches open.
BACKGROUND: The Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) is frequently used in heart failure (HF) clinical trials to evaluate treatment effects on function and symptoms. However, due to the 0-100 boundedness in KCCQ scores, conventional mean change from baseline analysis can underestimate effects for lower-and overestimate effects for higher-baselines. This study demonstrates key issues with conventional statistical methods for analyzing treatment effects on KCCQ in randomized trials and evaluates alternative statistical methods that appropriately account for 0-100 boundedness of scores. METHODS: We conducted clinical trial simulations and re-analyzed a real HF randomized trial-the PRIORITIZE-HF phase II trial of sodium zirconium cyclosilicate. KCCQ change from baseline was analyzed with conventional ANCOVA models, and compared to methods that account for the 0-100 score boundedness: ANCOVA interaction models, Tobit regression, and Beta regression. Mean treatment effects and extent of bias are summarized by method. RESULTS: There were clear baseline-dependencies in mean effects for KCCQ score change, both in simulated trials and in PRIORITIZE-HF. In the real trial, the conventional ANCOVA model mean effect on KCCQ-overall summary score was + 2.58 overall while for methods allowing effects to depend on baseline - ANCOVA interaction models and Beta regression - mean effects were over twice as large at baseline = 30 (+ 6.33 to + 6.75) and less than half at baseline = 70 (- 0.31 to + 0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Conventional analyses of treatment effects on overall mean KCCQ score changes lead to misinterpretations in clinical trials, but this can be mitigated by using methods allowing for baseline-dependent effects.
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Myte et al. (2025) studied this question.
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