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Project changes in United States energy consumption and fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions through year 2025 across low and high climate warming scenarios.

August 31, 2006Geophysical Research Letters

Responses of energy use to climate change: A climate modeling study

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Project changes in United States energy consumption and fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions through year 2025 across low and high climate warming scenarios.
Coupled a general-circulation climate model with an energy-use model to simulate regional energy demand.
Evaluated projections through 2025 under a low (1.2°C) and a high (3.4°C) temperature response to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide.
The low-warming scenario yielded a cumulative (2003–2025) energy increase of 1.09 quadrillion Btu (quads), as cooling increases outweighed heating reductions across most regions except the Northeast.
The high-warming scenario resulted in a cumulative energy decrease of 0.82 quads due to pronounced winter warming sharply lowering space-heating requirements.
In both warming scenarios, carbon dioxide emission increases driven by electricity generation for air conditioning outweighed emission reductions achieved from lower heating fuel use.

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Implication

Simulation study reveals shifting heating and cooling demands alter US energy use and emissions under climate warming, highlighting net increases in electricity-driven carbon output.

Cite This Study

Hadley et al. (2006) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a71628a3ce530166bc31484 https://doi.org/10.1029/2006gl026652

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Implication

Simulation study reveals shifting heating and cooling demands alter US energy use and emissions under climate warming, highlighting net increases in electricity-driven carbon output.

Responses of energy use to climate change: A climate modeling study

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Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

Responses of energy use to climate change: A climate modeling study

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

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