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August 5, 2026Open Access

Strategic Uncertainty, Experimentation and Order Renewal

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Authors

NTNatalia Tymoshenko

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Overview

Theory-building study explores strategic uncertainty impacts on international order and responses.

Key Points

  • This study aims to reconceptualize strategic uncertainty and its implications for international order.
  • Introduced the Open Strategic Laboratory to explore interventions under incomplete knowledge.
  • Utilized asymmetrically nested research design with Ukraine as the central empirical node.
  • Conducted comparative analysis with insights from Iran–Hormuz and China–Taiwan contexts.
  • Demonstrated the conversion of local strategic experience into shared institutions and capabilities.
  • Highlighted how access disruption in Hormuz contributes to defining access conditions.
  • Showed learning dynamics in the Taiwan situation prior to node activation.

Cite This Study

Natalia Tymoshenko (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a72e85b226790f3706583d8https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21779913
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