Key result
Riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern is linked to ~9-fold higher post-PVI AF recurrence versus dippers.
Why the study?
Nocturnal blood pressure patterns reflect autonomic and volume-related stress and may affect outcomes after PVI, but their association with AF recurrence required examination.
Does a riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern on ambulatory blood pressure monitoring predict atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation?
Cohort (n=74)
Does a riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern on ambulatory blood pressure monitoring predict atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation?
A riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern on preprocedural ambulatory blood pressure monitoring is strongly associated with early recurrence of atrial fibrillation after pulmonary vein isolation.
Nocturnal BP patterns may associate with post-PVI AF recurrence; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation before clinical use.
BACKGROUND: Nocturnal blood pressure patterns reflect autonomic and volume-related stress and may affect outcomes after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). We examined their association with atrial fibrillation recurrence after PVI using ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively studied 74 consecutive patients with preprocedural ABPM. Patients were classified as dipper (≥10% nocturnal systolic blood pressure decline), nondipper (0 to <10%), or riser (nighttime > daytime blood pressure). Recurrence was defined as any documented atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting greater than or equal to 30 s after the 90-day blanking period; episodes beginning during blanking and persisting beyond day 90 were assigned to day 90. Recurrence occurred in 27 patients (36.5%). Pattern distribution differed significantly by recurrence status (P = 0.002), with recurrence rates of 26.1% in dippers, 31.0% in nondippers, and 88.9% in risers. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly lower freedom from recurrence in risers (log-rank P < 0.001). In univariable Cox analysis using dippers as the reference, risers were associated with recurrence (hazard ratio: 9.50, 95% confidence interval: 3.22-27.97; P < 0.001), whereas nondippers were not. In an exploratory multivariable model including nocturnal blood pressure pattern, persistent atrial fibrillation, and age, the riser pattern remained associated with recurrence (hazard ratio: 9.53, 95% confidence interval: 3.00-30.29; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The riser pattern on ABPM was associated with early postblanking recurrence after PVI and may provide complementary information for risk stratification.
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Aoyama et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Atrial fibrillation (n=74). Riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern vs. Dipper nocturnal blood pressure pattern was evaluated on Atrial fibrillation recurrence (any documented atrial tachyarrhythmia ≥30 s after the 90-day blanking period) (HR 9.50, 95% CI 3.22-27.97, p=<0.001). A riser nocturnal blood pressure pattern was significantly associated with atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation compared to a dipper pattern (HR 9.50; 95% CI 3.22-27.97; P<0.001).
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