The Evolution and Taxonomy of Deep Learning Models for Aircraft Trajectory Prediction: A Review of Performance and Future Directions

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction is fundamental to air traffic management, operational safety, and intelligent aerospace systems. With the growing availability of flight data, deep learning has emerged as a powerful tool for modeling the spatiotemporal complexity of 4D trajectories. This paper presents a comprehensive review of deep learning-based approaches for aircraft trajectory prediction, focusing on their evolution, taxonomy, performance, and future directions. We classify existing models into five groups—RNN-based, attention-based, generative, graph-based, and hybrid and integrated models—and evaluate them using standardized metrics such as the RMSE, MAE, ADE, and FDE. Common datasets, including ADS-B and OpenSky, are summarized, along with the prevailing evaluation metrics. Beyond model comparison, we discuss real-world applications in anomaly detection, decision support, and real-time air traffic management, and highlight ongoing challenges such as data standardization, multimodal integration, uncertainty quantification, and self-supervised learning. This review provides a structured taxonomy and forward-looking perspectives, offering valuable insights for researchers and practitioners working to advance next-generation trajectory prediction technologies.