Convolutional neural network for the prediction of Sargassum seaweed beachings in Guadeloupe

In recent years, deep learning has transformed data processing, justifying its use in the current study. These models consist of multiple layers that calibrate weights to optimize accuracy. By mimicking neural processes, these networks facilitate high-performance predictive modeling. This study focused on the application of convolutional neural networks for forecasting Sargassum seaweed arrivals in Guadeloupe, using varied climatic data such as winds, surface currents, satellite images, and observations of seaweed arrivals on the Guadeloupe coast. We tested two different approaches: classification models for forecasting up to 14 days and zone regression models for forecasting up to 14 days, also indicating a probability of algae arrival. The results showed that the classification models achieved a mean accuracy of 94.75%, a mean specificity of 97.42%, and a mean sensitivity of 98.78%. Zone regression models achieved a mean accuracy of around 90%, a mean specificity of around 97%, and a mean sensitivity of around 85%, with a mean MAE of 0.13 and a mean RMSE of 0.18. These models perform better than the decision tree proposed in the state of the art for the same problem.