Key result
Continuation of past trends would lead to a 50% decline in age-adjusted ischaemic heart disease mortality rates by 2030 compared to 2005 across seven European countries.
Population
National populations of seven European countries (Netherlands, UK, France, and four Nordic countries)
Design
Other
Follow-up
1980-2005 (historical data), projected to 2030
Authors
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May redirect focus to IHD disability management; leaves open whether trends persist and require prospective validation.
Observational
Yes
If current trends continue, age-adjusted IHD mortality rates in Europe will decline by 50% by 2030, suggesting a future public health shift toward managing IHD-related disability rather than premature death.
Amiri et al. (2011) conducted an observational in Ischaemic heart disease. Calendar year was evaluated on IHD mortality rates and impact on life expectancy at birth. Continuation of past trends would lead to a 50% decline in age-adjusted ischaemic heart disease mortality rates by 2030 compared to 2005 across seven European countries.
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