Comparative analysis identifies challenges for EU's 2030 wind energy targets amidst deployment trends.
Recent years have witnessed a remarkable decline in the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of wind power, driven by technological innovation, economies of scale, and improved capacity factors. At the same time, rising fossil fuel prices further enhanced the economic competitiveness of wind energy, making it one of the most cost-effective electricity generation technologies globally. However, recent European market developments, including supply chain constraints and increasing investment costs, have exerted upward pressure on LCOE. This paper delivers a data-driven comparative analysis of wind energy deployment and utilisation across European countries, highlighting structural differences in per capita installed capacity, growth rates, and capacity factors, while assessing their relevance for achieving the European Union’s 2030 wind energy targets. Globally, wind power capacity has reached approximately 1133 GW, nearly 80% of which is concentrated within three regions: the European Union (231 GW), China (522 GW), and the United States (153 GW). The EU remains the global leader in per capita installed wind capacity, averaging around 515 watts per person, compared to 443 W in the United States and 368 W in China. Wind energy also accounts for a larger share of electricity consumption in the EU, exceeding 18% on average, while it is around 10% in both China and the United States. Despite this progress, the EU faces significant challenges in meeting the ambitious RePowerEU target of 510 GW installed wind capacity by 2030, more than double the current level (231 GW). At current installation growth rate of roughly (7%), these objectives are unlikely to be achieved without accelerated deployment, strengthened policy measures and improved economic incentives. In practice, doubling current capacity would require approximately doubling the installation rate to around 14%. Furthermore, grid constraints, curtailment, and limited system flexibility underline the importance of complementary infrastructure and integration measures alongside capacity expansion.
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Zsiros et al. (2026) studied this question.
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