Unveiling the power of TIIC: A prognostic tool for esophageal adenocarcinoma

Background Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) remains a lethal malignancy with limited prognostic tools for guiding immunotherapy. Tumor-infiltrating immune cells (TIICs) play a critical role in EAC prognosis and treatment response. Methods We integrated single-cell RNA sequencing and bulk transcriptome data from TCGA and GEO databases. TIIC-specific RNAs were identified via tissue specificity index calculation combined with machine learning feature selection. Twenty machine learning algorithms were benchmarked to construct an optimal TIIC signature score (TIIC-Score) based on the comprehensive C-index. Immunotherapy response, genomic mutation, and copy number variation were analyzed. Summary-data-based Mendelian randomization (SMR) and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) were performed to explore genetic associations. Core prognostic TIIC-related genes were functionally validated in esophageal cancer cell lines through loss-of-function assays. Results The TIIC-Score demonstrated robust prognostic value for 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival across multiple cohorts, outperforming 22 published models. High TIIC-Score was associated with poor survival and increased chromosomal instability. Mutation profiling revealed high frequencies of TP53 (78.2%), TTN (48.7%), and SYNE1 (30.8%). MR analysis identified a significant association between gastro-oesophageal reflux and EAC risk at SNP rs8130507. Functionally, CCNI was upregulated in esophageal cancer cells, and its knockdown suppressed malignant phenotypes while promoting apoptosis, supporting its pro-tumorigenic role. Conclusion The TIIC-Score provides a novel prognostic framework for EAC that effectively stratifies patient risk and may help identify individuals most likely to benefit from immunotherapy.