Differential Effect of the Morning Blood Pressure Surge on Prognoses Between Heart Failure With Reduced and Preserved Ejection Fractions

BACKGROUND: Rising blood pressure (BP) in the morning, known as the morning BP surge (MBPS), is known to pose a risk for cardiovascular events in hypertensive individuals. It was not known whether the MBPS was associated with a worse prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF) with a reduced (HFrEF) or preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a prospective, observational cohort study of hospitalized HF patients who underwent ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM). The MBPS was calculated by subtracting the mean systolic BP (SBP) during the 1 h that included the lowest sleep BP from the mean SBP during the 2 h after waking. The MBPS group was defined as the top decile of MBPS (>40 mmHg). In all, 456 hospitalized HF patients (mean [±SD] age 68±13 years, 63.9% male) were followed-up for a median of 1.67 years. There were 90 events (16.3 per 100 person-years) of the composite outcome (all-cause mortality and worsening HF) in the HFrEF group, compared with 53 events (19.6 per 100 person-years) in the HFpEF group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that MBPS was a significant predictor of outcome (hazard ratio 2.84, 95% confidence interval 1.58-5.10, P<0.01) in the HFrEF but not HFpEF group. CONCLUSIONS: MBPS was found to be a novel predictor of worsening HF in patients with HFrEF.