Parsimony, simplicity and what actually happened

The role of a parsimony principle is unclear in most methods which have been claimed to be valid for the reconstruction of tionary kinship. There appear to be two reasons for this: first, the role of parsimony is generally uncertain in scientific method; second, the majority of methods proposed transform data and order them, but are not appropriate to the reconstruction of phyto Commitment to a probabilistic model of tionary processes seems to be the essential component which may enable us justifiably to estimate phylo An example is provided which emphasizes the importance of knowledge about the nature of the process before undertaking estimation of the pattern of kinship.