Climate Risk 2026

This report presents a decision-analysis assessment of current climate risk based primarily on direct physical observations and peer-reviewed scientific evidence. It intentionally distinguishes measured observations from inference, explicitly identifies uncertainty, and organises evidence by Earth-system domain rather than institutional source. The report concludes that multiple independently observed indicators are deteriorating simultaneously, that interacting risks are becoming increasingly important, and that uncertainty lies primarily in the timing of system transitions rather than the direction of change. The methodology emphasises transparency, reproducibility and direct access to supporting evidence through categorised references.