What question did this study set out to answer?

To develop and evaluate a hybrid Geographic Information System (GIS) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) framework for mapping current and future forest fire risk under changing climate conditions.

December 14, 2019SustainabilityOpen Access

A Hybrid GIS and AHP Approach for Modelling Actual and Future Forest Fire Risk Under Climate Change Accounting Water Resources Attenuation Role

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Authors

GBGianluigi BusicoUniversity of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli"EGElisabetta GiudittaUniversity of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli"NKNerantzis KazakisUniversity of Patras

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Implication

Geospatial modeling study reveals accurate current and projected forest fire risk zones in Southern Italy, highlighting effective targets for preventive wildfire management.

Key Points

To develop and evaluate a hybrid Geographic Information System (GIS) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) framework for mapping current and future forest fire risk under changing climate conditions.
Integrated 12 environmental, morphological, climatic, and anthropogenic variables within a GIS platform applied to the wildfire-prone Campania region of Southern Italy.
Assigned factor weights using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to classify regional fire risk into five levels ranging from very low to very high, projecting outcomes through 2040 based on climate projections.
Validation against real-world fire alerts demonstrated strong predictive performance, achieving an R2 of 0.79 between observed and predicted fire occurrences.
The framework successfully categorized regional territory into distinct risk zones and generated forward-looking risk models for 2040 to guide preventive interventions.

Cite This Study

Busico et al. (2019) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a78a7eb576efb0ddaf83a67 https://doi.org/10.3390/su11247166

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Implication

Geospatial modeling study reveals accurate current and projected forest fire risk zones in Southern Italy, highlighting effective targets for preventive wildfire management.

A Hybrid GIS and AHP Approach for Modelling Actual and Future Forest Fire Risk Under Climate Change Accounting Water Resources Attenuation Role

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

A Hybrid GIS and AHP Approach for Modelling Actual and Future Forest Fire Risk Under Climate Change Accounting Water Resources Attenuation Role

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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