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August 11, 2026The Journal of Climate Change and HealthOpen Access

Climate´s effect on dengue geographical distribution and scenarios from climatic change projections in Cuba: essential elements for a bioclimatic warning system

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Authors

YVYazenia Linares VegaPBPaulo L. Ortiz BultóMSMadelaine Rivera Sanchez

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Overview

Ecological study assesses climatic effects on dengue distribution in Cuba, suggesting vital health adaptation actions.

Key Points

  • This study aims to analyze the geographical distribution of dengue and predict its changes due to climate variability and change.
  • Ecological study using time series and spatial statistics
  • Utilized entomological, epidemiological, ecological niche data, and climatic indicators.
  • Applied Kriging for interpolation on a 20 × 20 km grid and spatial-autoregressive modelling for climate projections.
  • Generated geographic distribution maps of dengue, indicating seasonal patterns during rainiest and warmest months.
  • Identified a strong spatial association between health indicators and climate patterns.
  • Projected dengue and Aedes aegypti scenarios for 2050 under climate change conditions.

Cite This Study

Vega et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7ace0a3401087f2249db49https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100720
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