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April 30, 2014Annals of the American Thoracic SocietyOpen Access

Among patients aged 40 to 64 hospitalized for COPD, 8.9% were readmitted within 30 days, and a model combining patient, provider, and system factors predicted readmission with a C-statistic of 0.717.

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Why the study?

What are the predictors of early readmission among patients aged 40-64 years hospitalized with COPD?

Population

8,263 patients aged 40-64 years hospitalized with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, identified from a…

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

30 days after discharge

Key result

Among patients aged 40 to 64 hospitalized for COPD, 8.9% were readmitted within 30 days, and a model combining patient, provider, and system factors predicted readmission with a C-statistic of 0.717.

Authors

RSRoozbeh SharifTPTrisha M. ParekhKPKaren Pierson

Discussion

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Overview

May inform risk stratification in midlife COPD; leaves open whether targeting provider and system factors reduces readmissions.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=8,263)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

What are the predictors of early readmission among patients aged 40-64 years hospitalized with COPD?

P
Population
8,263 commercially insured adults aged 40 to 64 years hospitalized for COPD, followed for 30 days post-discharge to identify predictors of early readmission.
O
Outcome
Early readmission, defined as hospitalization within 30 days of dischargehard clinical

Main Result

Effect estimate: C-statistic 0.717 (95% CI 0.702-0.732)

Provider and system factors, such as lack of follow-up visits and specific discharge medications, are important modifiable risk factors for 30-day readmission in COPD patients aged 40-64.

Limitations

  • Use of ICD-9 codes to identify COPD hospitalizations may have low sensitivity.
  • Lack of information on COPD severity or complexity of the index hospitalization.
  • Results cannot be generalized to fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries older than 64.
  • Socioeconomic status was not captured in the database.
  • Analysis does not account for patient adherence to prescribed medications.
  • The risk prediction model requires validation in an independent sample.

Cite This Study

Sharif et al. (2014) conducted a cohort in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) (n=8,263). Patient, provider, and system risk factors vs. Absence of risk factors was evaluated on Early readmission within 30 days of discharge (predictive model performance) (C-statistic 0.717, 95% CI 0.702-0.732). Among patients aged 40 to 64 hospitalized for COPD, 8.9% were readmitted within 30 days, and a model combining patient, provider, and system factors predicted readmission with a C-statistic of 0.717.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7ba921c06c4f060a75d6bahttps://doi.org/10.1513/annalsats.201310-358oc
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